Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.370440 0.439361 0.516339 0.608511 0.715698 0.836228 0.981845
2025-01-05 0.271564 0.361415 0.472582 0.619480 0.807655 1.039702 1.346506
2025-01-12 0.211160 0.306252 0.433153 0.613352 0.860831 1.186663 1.645616
2025-01-19 0.171974 0.268097 0.404733 0.610632 0.909950 1.325466 1.941195
2025-01-26 0.150537 0.249775 0.398691 0.634726 0.994705 1.517054 2.324378
2025-02-02 0.143892 0.251874 0.421582 0.702346 1.148163 1.819439 2.893850
2025-02-09 0.129562 0.238865 0.418486 0.728099 1.238961 2.035558 3.353181
2025-02-16 0.111546 0.216437 0.396518 0.719590 1.272844 2.165080 3.688116
2025-02-23 0.094102 0.191991 0.367392 0.694534 1.275215 2.242427 3.943859
2025-03-02 0.078694 0.168668 0.336762 0.662330 1.260571 2.288413 4.149212
2025-03-09 0.072694 0.162552 0.336541 0.684523 1.342966 2.504174 4.657709
2025-03-16 0.062221 0.145633 0.313455 0.660800 1.338800 2.567946 4.906041
2025-03-23 0.056791 0.138829 0.310000 0.675909 1.411295 2.779267 5.443569
2025-03-30 0.051591 0.131722 0.305073 0.687696 1.479103 2.988970 5.998242
2025-04-06 0.045510 0.121490 0.292047 0.680937 1.509016 3.129519 6.434817
2025-04-13 0.040539 0.112991 0.281519 0.677940 1.545771 3.285563 6.912643
2025-04-20 0.038197 0.110602 0.284383 0.704476 1.646633 3.575485 7.673639
2025-04-27 0.039032 0.116558 0.307387 0.778912 1.857054 4.101514 8.942576
2025-05-04 0.036907 0.114254 0.310320 0.807246 1.969123 4.434915 9.846149
2025-05-11 0.032948 0.106178 0.297963 0.797885 1.995862 4.592544 10.399878
2025-05-18 0.028591 0.096114 0.279110 0.770315 1.977866 4.653171 10.754355
2025-05-25 0.024456 0.085866 0.258218 0.734869 1.937379 4.660989 10.995638
2025-06-01 0.023226 0.084345 0.260581 0.759298 2.042694 4.998937 11.978373